======================================================== SPACE LAUNCH REPORT 2020 LAUNCH VEHICLE/SITE STATISTICS ======================================================== by Ed Kyle as of December 29, 2020 ======================================================== YEAR TO DATE ORBITAL LAUNCH VEHICLE SUMMARY Calendar year launch vehicle results, ranked by number of successes, with launch total as the first tiebreaker and vehicle payload mass as the second tiebreaker. Low Earth Orbit (LEO) missions have orbital periods less than 2 hours. Deep Space missions include heliocentric, planetocentric, and solar system escape trajectories. ========================================================= Vehicle Overall By Orbit Type Launches Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape (Failures) LEO >LEO Deep Space ========================================================= Falcon 9 25(0) 21(0) 4(0) - CZ (DF-5) 25(1) 18(0) 7(1) - R-7 15(0) 11(0) 4(0) - Electron 7(1) 7(1) - - Atlas 5 5(0) 1(0) 2(0) 2(0) CZ-5(B) 3(0) 1(0) 1(0) 1(0) Ariane 5 3(0) - 3(0) - H-2A 3(0) 1(0) 1(0) 1(0) CZ-11 3(0) 3(0) - - KZ-1A 3(1) 3(1) - - Antares 2(0) 2(0) - - PSLV 2(0) 1(0) 1(0) - Vega 2(1) 2(1) - - Delta 4 Heavy 1(0) - 1(0) - Angara A5 1(0) - 1(0) - Proton 1(0) - 1(0) - H-2B 1(0) 1(0) - - CZ-8 1(0) 1(0) - - Minotaur 4 1(0) 1(0) - - CZ-6 1(0) 1(0) - - Shavit-2 1(0) 1(0) - - Qased 1(0) 1(0) - - Ceres-1 1(0) 1(0) - - CZ-7A 1(1) - 1(1) - Simorgh 1(1) 1(1) - - LauncherOne 1(1) 1(1) - - KZ-11 1(1) 1(1) - - Astra Rocket 3 2(2) 2(2) - - --------------------------------------------------------- Total 114(10) 83(7) 27(2) 4(0) Antares Details ------------------------------------------------------------ Antares 230 - - - - Antares 230+ 2(0) 2(0) - - ------------------------------------------------------------ Ariane 5 Details ------------------------------------------------------------ Ariane 5ECA(+) 3(0) - 3(0) - Ariane 5ES - - - - ------------------------------------------------------------ Atlas 5 Details ----------------------------------------------------------- Atlas 5-401 - - - - Atlas 5-411 1(0) - - 1(0) Atlas 5-421 - - - - Atlas 5-431 - - - - Atlas 5-501 1(0) 1(0) - - Atlas 5-531 1(0) - 1(0) - Atlas 5-541 1(0) - - 1(0) Atlas 5-551 1(0) - 1(0) - Atlas 5-N22 - - - - ----------------------------------------------------------- Chang Zheng (Long March) Details ------------------------------------------------------------ CZ-2C(/SMA/YZ-1S) 3(0) 3(0) - - CZ-2D 7(0) 7(0) - - CZ-2D/YZ-3 - - - - CZ-2FY (M) - - - - CZ-2F 1(0) 1(0) - - CZ-3A - - - - CZ-3B(/E) 8(1) 1(0) 7(1) - CZ-3B/YZ-1 - - - - CZ-3C(/E) - - - - CZ-3C/YZ-1 - - - - CZ-4B 5(0) 5(0) - - CZ-4C 1(0) 1(0) - - CZ-5 2(0) - 1(0) 1(0) CZ-5B 1(0) 1(0) - - CZ-6 1(0) 1(0) - - CZ-7 - - - - CZ-7A 1(1) - 1(1) - CZ-8 1(0) 1(0) - - CZ-11 3(0) 3(0) - - ------------------------------------------------------------ Delta 4 Details ------------------------------------------------------------ Delta 4H 1(0) - 1(0) - ------------------------------------------------------------ Electron Details ------------------------------------------------------------- Electron - - - - Electron/Curie 7(1) 7(1) - - ------------------------------------------------------------- Falcon 9/Falcon Heavy Details ------------------------------------------------------------ Falcon 9 v1.2 21(0) 17(0) 4(0) - Falcon 9 v1.2 Crew 2(0) 2(0) - - Falcon 9 v1.2(S1loss) 2(0) 2(0) Falcon 9 v1.2(expend) - - - - Falcon Heavy - - - - ------------------------------------------------------------ H-2A/B Details ------------------------------------------------------------- H-2A/202 3(0) 1(0) 1(0) 1(0) H-2A/204 - - - - H-2B/304 1(0) 1(0) - - ------------------------------------------------------------- Proton Details ------------------------------------------------------------ Proton-M/Briz-M 1(0) - 1(0) - Proton-K/DM-2 - - - - Proton-M/DM-03 - - - - ------------------------------------------------------------- PSLV Details ------------------------------------------------------------ PSLV-G - - - - PSLV-CA (Core Alone) - - - - PSLV-DL 1(0) 1(0) - - PSLV-QL - - - - PSLV-XL 1(0) - 1(0) - ------------------------------------------------------------- Soyuz/Molniya (R-7) Details ------------------------------------------------------------- Soyuz-2-1a - - - - Soyuz-2-1a(Progress) 2(0) 2(0) - - Soyuz-2-1a(Soyuz) 2(0) 2(0) - - Soyuz-2-1a/Fregat 3(0) 2(0) 1(0) - Soyuz-2-1a/Volga - - - - Soyuz-2-1b - - - - Soyuz-2-1b/Fregat 8(0) 5(0) 3(0) - NK-33A Powered Soyuz 2-1v/Volga - - - - Soyuz 2-1v - - - - ------------------------------------------------------------ Launch Vehicle Site Summary ========================================================= YEAR TO DATE ORBITAL LAUNCH SITE SUMMARY Launch sites, ranked by number of year-to-date orbital launch attempts. ========================================================= Site Overall Launches (Failures) ========================================================= Cape Canaveral, Florida 20(0) XiChang, China 13(1) Jiuquan, China 13(2) Kennedy Space Center, FL 10(0) Baikonur, Kazakhstan 7(0) Taiyuan, China 7(0) Plesetsk, Russia 7(0) Kourou, French Guyana 7(1) Mahia, New Zealand 7(1) Wenchang, China 5(1) Tanegashima, Japan 4(0) Wallops Island, Virgina 3(0) Sriharikota, India 2(0) Vandenberg AFB, California 1(0) Vostochny, Russia 1(0) Yellow Sea Platform, China 1(0) Palmachim, Israel 1(0) Shahrud, Iran 1(0) Semnam, Iran 1(1) Mojave Space Port, CA 1(1) Kodiak LC, Alaska 2(2) Kagoshima, Japan - Sohae, North Korea - Naro Space Center, South Korea - Kwajalein, RMI - ========================================================= Launch Total by Country of First or Core Stage Manufacture ranked by number of year-to-date orbital successes. ========================================================== Vehicle Overall By Orbit Type Launches Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape (Failures) LEO >LEO Deep Space ========================================================== China 39(4) 29(2) 10(2) 1(0) United States 35(3) 26(3) 7(0) 2(0) Russia 17(0) 11(0) 6(0) - New Zealand 7(1) 7(1) - - Europe 5(1) 2(1) 3(0) - Japan 4(0) 2(0) 1(0) 1(0) Ukraine 2(0) 2(0) - - India 2(0) 1(0) 1(0) - Iran 2(1) 2(1) - - Israel 1(0) 1(0) - - North Korea - - - - ========================================================== Launch Total by Country of Upper Stage Manufacture ranked by number of year-to-date orbital successes. ========================================================== Vehicle Overall By Orbit Type Launches Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape (Failures) LEO >LEO Deep Space ========================================================== China 39(4) 29(2) 10(2) 1(0) United States 37(3) 28(3) 7(0) 2(0) Russia 17(0) 11(0) 6(0) - New Zealand 7(1) 7(1) - - Europe 5(1) 2(1) 3(0) - Japan 4(0) 2(0) 1(0) 1(0) India 2(0) 1(0) 1(0) - Iran 2(1) 2(1) - - Israel 1(0) 1(0) - - Ukraine - - - - North Korea - - - - ========================================================== ================================================================ SPACE LAUNCH REPORT ACTIVE LAUNCH VEHICLE RELIABILITY STATISTICS ================================================================ by Ed Kyle as of December 29, 2020 ================================================================ Top active space launch vehicles ranked by Lewis point estimate of their orbital success rate*. Failures include incorrect orbits. ================================================================ Lewis Successes Point AdjWald Consc. Last Dates Vehicle /Attempts Est* 95%CI* Succes Fail ================================================================ Falcon 9 v1.2 82/82(D) 0.99 0.95-1.00 82 None 2015- Atlas 5 85/86 0.98 0.93-1.00 76 06/15/07 2002- CZ-2D 50/51 0.96 0.89-1.00 19 12/28/16 1992- Ariane 5-ECA(+) 74/76 0.96 0.90-1.00 11 01/25/18 2002- H-2A 42/43 0.96 0.87-1.00 37 11/29/03 2001- CZ-2(C)(/SD/SM/YZ)56/58 0.95 0.88-1.00 22 08/18/11 1974- CZ-3B/3C 85/89 0.95 0.89-0.99 5 04/09/20 1996- CZ-4(A/B/C) 68/71 0.95 0.88-0.99 11 05/22/19 1988- CZ-2F(T/Y) 14/14 0.94 0.75-1.00 14 None 1999 Soyuz 2-1a/Fregat 25/26# 0.93 0.80-1.00 23 05/21/09 2006-- PSLV 49/52 0.93 0.84-0.99 11 08/31/17 1993- CZ-11 11/11 0.92 0.70-1.00 11 None 2015 Minotaur 1 11/11 0.92 0.70-1.00 11 None 2000- Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 45/48 0.92 0.83-0.98 19 11/28/17 2006- Soyuz 2-1a 21/22# 0.92 0.76-1.00 15 04/28/15 2004- Soyuz 2-1b 9/9 0.91 0.66-1.00 9 None 2008- CZ-3/3A 37/40 0.90 0.79-0.98 27 08/18/96 1984- Proton-M/Briz-M 90/99 0.90 0.83-0.95 17 10/21/14 2001- Antares 2xx 8/8 0.90 0.63-1.00 8 None 2016- Pegasus (H/XL) 39/44 0.89 0.76-0.96 30 11/04/96 1991- Electron 15/17 0.88 0.64-0.98 4 07/04/20 2017- Vega 14/16xx 0.88 0.63-0.98 0 11/17/20 2012- Minotaur 4/5 6/6++ 0.88 0.56-1.00 6 None 2010- Delta 4 Heavy 11/12 0.86 0.62-1.00 11 12/21/04 2004- Kuaizhou 1(A) 11/12 0.86 0.62-1.00 0 09/12/20 2013- GSLV Mk2 6/7 0.86 0.47-0.99 6 04/15/10 2010- Epsilon 4/4 0.83 0.45-1.00 4 None 2013- CZ-6 4/4 0.83 0.45-1.00 4 None 2015- GSLV Mk3 3/3z 0.80 0.38-1.00 3 None 2017- Falcon Heavy 3/3 0.80 0.38-1.00 3 None 2018- Soyuz 2-1v/Volga 4/5 0.80 0.36-0.98 3 12/05/15 2013- CZ-5 4/5 0.80 0.36-0.98 3 07/02/17 2016- Shavit(-1,-2) 9/12 0.75 0.46-0.92 5 9/6/04 1988- CZ-7 2/2 0.75 0.29-1.00 2 None 2016- Angara A5 2/2 0.75 0.29-1.00 2 None 2014- Taurus (XL) 7/10 0.70 0.39-0.90 1 3/4/11 1994- CZ-5B 1/1 0.67 0.17-1.00 1 None 2020- CZ-8 1/1 0.67 0.17-1.00 1 None 2020- Soyuz 2-1a/Volga 1/1 0.67 0.17-1.00 1 None 2016- KT-2 1/1 0.67 0.17-1.00 1 None 2017- Soyuz 2-1v 1/1 0.67 0.17-1.00 1 None 2018- SQX-1 1/1 0.67 0.17-1.00 1 None 2019- Jielong-1 1/1 0.67 0.17-1.00 1 None 2019- Qased 1/1 0.67 0/17-1.00 1 None 2020- Ceres-1 1/1 0.67 0/17-1.00 1 None 2020- Proton-M/DM-03 3/5 0.60 0.23-0.88 3 07/02/13 2010- Safir 5/9(C) 0.56 0.27-0.81 0 02/05/19 2008- SS-520 1/2 0.50 0.09-0.91 1 01/14/17 2017- Unha (TD-2) 2/5% 0.44 0.12-0.77 2 04/12/12 2006- CZ-7A 0/1 0.40 0.00-0.83 0 03/16/20 2020- KZ-11 0/1 0.40 0.00-0.83 0 07/10/20 2020- ZQ-1 0/1 0.40 0.00-0.83 0 10/27/18 2018- OS-M 0/1 0.40 0.00-0.83 0 03/27/19 2019- LauncherOne 0/1 0.40 0.00-0.83 0 05/25/20 2020- Astra Rocket 3 0/2 0.33 0.00-0.71 0 09/12/20 2020- Simorgh 0/3(E) 0.28 0.00-0.62 0 02/09/20 2017- ================================================================ * Lewis Point Estimate Determined as Follows. Maximum Liklihood Estimate (MLE)= x/n where x=success, n=tries For MLE<=0.5, use Wilson Method = (x+2)/(n+4) For MLE Between 0.5 and 0.9, use MLE = x/n For MLE>=0.9, use Laplace Method = (x+1)/(n+2) Lewis, J. & Lauro, J., "Improving the Accuracy of Small-Sample Estimates of Completion Rates", Journal of Usability Studies, Issue 3, Vol. 1, May 2006, pp. 136-150. * Adjusted-Wald 95% Confidence Interval Range Determined as Follows. Pw = (x+1.9208)/(n+3.8416) CI = Pw +/- 1.96*sqrt[(Pw*(1-Pw))/(n+3.8416)] (maximum range 1.00) # Does not include one successful suborbital Soyuz 2-1a test flight performed in 2004. ++Does not include two successful suborbital Minotaur 4 Lite flights in 2010-11. x Does not include Soyuz-U/Soyuz T-10-1 pre-launch fire that resulted in escape tower firing saving crew, but destroying launch vehicle on 9-26-1983. Note that 10 additional Soyuz-U launches with Ikar or Fregat upper stages (all successful) are cataloged separately. xx Does not include successful 2-11-15 suborbital flight with IXV reentry demonstrator. % Includes 2006 failure thought to be a two-stage suborbital test launch attempt. z Does not include successful inaugural suborbital test flight on 12-18-14. (C) Assumes that two unsuccessful, unreported Safir launch attempts occurred during 2012 and one during 2019. Does not count 2019 prelaunch propellant loading explosion. (D) Does not include 09/01/16 explosion that destroyed F9-29 and AMOS 6 payload during propellant loading for prelaunch hot fire test at CC 40 two days before planned launch. (D) Does not include successful 01/19/20 suborbital IFA Crew Dragon launch by F9-80. (E) Assumes 7/27/17 launch was a failed orbital attempt and that 4/19/16 launch was a suborbital test flight. =============================================================== SPACE LAUNCH REPORT RETIRED LAUNCH VEHICLE RELIABILITY STATISTICS ================================================================ by Ed Kyle ================================================================ Space launch vehicles retired since ~1980 ranked by their predicted orbital success rate*. Failures include incorrect orbits. Ranked by Lewis Point Estimate ================================================================ Lewis Successes Point AdjWald Consc. Last Dates Vehicle /Attempts Est* 95%CI* Succes Fail ================================================================ Atlas 2/2AS 63/63 0.98 0.93-1.00 63 None 1991-2004 Tsyklon 2 104/105 0.98 0.94-1.00 92 04/25/73 1967-2006 Delta 2 153/155 0.98 0.95-1.00 100 01/17/97 1989-2018 Soyuz-U 755/776x 0.97 0.96-0.98 1 12/01/16 1973-2017 STS 132/135 0.97 0.93-1.00 22(A)02/01/03 1981-2011 Soyuz-FG 59/60 0.97 0.90-1.00 5 10/11/18 2001-2019 Delta 4M(+) 29/29 0.97 0.86-1.00 29 None 2002-2019 Ariane 4 113/116 0.97 0.92-0.99 74 12/11/94 1988-2003 Delta ELT 89/93 0.95 0.89-0.99 8 05/03/86 1972-1990 Titan 2 17/17# 0.95 0.78-1.00 17 None 1964-2003 Kosmos 3M 423/446 0.95 0.92-0.97 22 11/20/00 1964-2010 Molniya M 277/296 0.93 0.90-0.96 4 06/21/05 1963-2010 Proton-K/DM-2M 40/42 0.93 0.83-1.00 7 11/25/02 1994-2006 Tsyklon 3 114/122 0.93 0.87-0.97 1 12/24/04 1977-2009 Proton-K/DM-2 101/109 0.92 0.86-0.96 15 10/27/99 1982-2012 Scout D-G 33/35 0.92 0.80-0.99 23 12/06/75 1972-1994 Dnepr 21/22 0.92 0.76-1.00 15 07/26/06 1999-2015 Soyuz FG/Fregat 10/10 0.92 0.68-1.00 10 None 2003-2012 Rokot/Briz/K(M) 30/32 0.91 0.79-0.99 16 02/01/11 1994-2019 H-2B 9/9 0.91 0.66-1.00 9 None 2009-2020 H-1 9/9 0.91 0.66-1.00 9 None 1986-1992 Ariane 5ES 8/8 0.90 0.63-1.00 8 None 2008-2018 Proton-K 26/29+ 0.90 0.73-0.97 9 11/29/86 1968-2000 M-3 17/19 0.89 0.67-0.98 0 01/15/95 1974-1995 Zenit 3SL/DMSL 32/36 0.89 0.74-0.96 1 02/01/13 1999-2014 Falcon 9 v1.1 14/15 0.88 0.68-1.00 1 06/28/15 2013-2016 Titan 4B 15/17 0.88 0.64-0.98 12 04/30/99 1997-2005 Atlas E SUS 21/23 0.88 0.72-0.99 21 12/19/81 1980-1995 Ariane 5G(+,S) 22/25 0.88 0.68-0.97 15 07/12/01 1996-2009 Titan 4A 20/22 0.88 0.71-0.99 0 08/12/98 1989-1998 Atlas 3(A/B) 6/6 0.88 0.56-1.00 6 None 2000-2005 Soyuz-U/Ikar 6/6 0.88 0.56-1.00 6 None 1999-1999 Proton-M/DM-2 6/6 0.88 0.56-1.00 6 None 2007-2010 Proton-K/17S40 6/6 0.88 0.56-1.00 6 None 1997-2002 Atlas H SUS 5/5 0.86 0.51-1.00 5 None 1983-1987 Titan 2(Star) 6/7% 0.86 0.47-0.99 6 10/5/93 1964-2003 M-5 6/7 0.86 0.47-0.99 4 02/10/00 1997-2006 START(-1) 6/7 0.86 0.47-0.99 5 03/28/95 1993-2006 Zenit 3F/FregSB 4/4 0.83 0.45-1.00 4 None 2011-2017 Soyuz-U/Fregat 4/4 0.83 0.45-1.00 4 None 2000-2000 Zenit 3SLB/DMSLB 5/6 0.83 0.42-0.99 5(B)04/28/08 2008-2015 Titan 34D 12/15 0.80 0.54-0.94 3 09/02/88 1982-1989 Falcon 9 v1.0 4/5 0.80 0.36-0.98 1 10/08/12 2010-2013 Antares 1xx 4/5 0.80 0.36-0.98 0 10/28/14 2013-2014 Strela 3/3 0.80 0.38-1.00 3 None 2003-2019 Zenit 2(M/SB) 30/38 0.79 0.63-0.89 7 09/09/98 1985-2015 Shitl' 2/2 0.75 0.29-1.00 2 None 1998-2006 Proton-K/Briz-M 3/4 0.75 0.29-0.97 3 07/05/99 1999-2003 Titan 3 Comm. 3/4 0.75 0.29-0.97 2 03/14/90 1990-1992 Atlas G/Centaur 13/18 0.72 0.49-0.88 4 03/25/93 1984-1997 H-2 5/7 0.71 0.35-0.92 0 11/15/99 1994-1999 Falcon 1 2/5 0.44 0.12-0.77 2 08/03/08 2006-2009 KSLV-1 (Angara) 1/3 0.43 0.06-0.80 1 06/10/10 2009-2013 Delta 3 1/3 0.43 0.06-0.80 1 05/05/99 1998-2000 GSLV Mk1 2/6 0.40 0.09-0.70 0 12/25/10 2001-2010 Super Strypi 0/1 0.40 0.00-0.83 0 11/04/15 2015-2015 Volna 0/1 0.40 0.00-0.83 0 06/21/05 2005-2005 Conestoga 0/1 0.40 0.00-0.83 0 10/23/95 1995-1995 VLS-1 0/2 0.33 0.00-0.71 0(E)12/11/99 1997-1999 ================================================================ * Lewis Point Estimate Determined as Follows. Maximum Liklihood Estimate (MLE)= x/n where x=success, n=tries For MLE<=0.5, use Wilson Method = (x+2)/(n+4) For MLE between 0.5 and 0.9, use MLE = x/n For MLE>=0.9, use Laplace Method = (x+1)/(n+2) Lewis, J. & Lauro, J., "Improving the Accuracy of Small-Sample Estimates of Completion Rates", Journal of Usability Studies, Issue 3, Vol. 1, May 2006, pp. 136-150. * Adjusted-Wald 95% Confidence Interval Range Determined as Follows. Pw = (x+1.9208)/(n+3.8416) CI = Pw +/- 1.96*sqrt[(Pw*(1-Pw))/(n+3.8416)] (maximum range 1.00) # Includes 11 orbital Gemini Titan 2 and 6 Titan 23G missions. % Seven Titan 23G flights that flew suborbital profiles with Star 37 solid rocket motors providing the final orbital velocity increment. The single failure listed here involved the Star 37 stage. + Does not include one successful suborbital Proton-K test flight performed in 1970. x Does not include Soyuz-U/Soyuz T-10-1 pre-launch fire that resulted in escape tower firing saving crew, but destroying launch vehicle on 9-26-1983. Note that 10 additional Soyuz-U launches with Ikar or Fregat upper stages (all successful) are cataloged separately. (A) 2003 STS-107 Columbia failure during reentry result of damage suffered during launch phase. (B) Amos-3 inserted in orbit with 1,500 km short perigee and 0.7 deg unplanned inclination. Amos 3 reportedly lost two to three years of 18 year design life. (E) Does not include 08/22/03 pre-launch pad explosion that killed 21 during T-3 day launch preps. 2020 SPACE LAUNCH LOG ========================================================================= SPACE LAUNCH REPORT 2020 ORBITAL/SUBORBITAL LAUNCH LOG ========================================================================= by Ed Kyle as of December 29, 2020 ========================================================================= YEAR TO DATE ORBITAL SPACE LAUNCH LOG DATE VEHICLE ID PAYLOAD MASS(t) SITE* ORBIT** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01/07/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-79 Starlink 1 F2 15.6 CC 40 LEO 01/07/20 CZ-3B/E Y62 TJSW-5 XC 2 GTO 01/15/20 CZ-2D Y58 Kuanfu 1 + 3usats TY 9 LEO/S 01/16/20 KZ-1A Y9 GS-SparkSat 3 0.227 JQ 43/95 LEO 01/16/20 Ariane 5 ECA VA251 Konnect/GSAT 30 6.976 KO 3 GTO 01/29/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-81 Starlink 1 F3 15.6 CC 40 LEO 01/31/20 Electron/Curie 11 NROL-51 MA 1 LEO 02/06/20 Soyuz 2.1b/Fregat ST27 OneWeb 7-40 5.015 TB 31/6 LEO 02/09/20 H-2A-202 F41 IGS Optical 7 TA Y1 LEO/S 02/09/10 Simorgh 004 Zafar 1 SE 2 [FTO][1] 02/10/20 Atlas 5-411 AV087 Solar Orbiter 1.800 CC 41 HCO 02/15/20 Antares 230+ A12 Cygnus NG-13 7.50 WI 0A LEO/ISS 02/17/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-82 Starlink 1 F4 15.6 CC 40 LEO [2] 02/18/20 Ariane 5 ECA+ VA252 JCSat 17/G-KOMPSAT 2B 9.236 KO 3 GTO 02/19/20 CZ-2D Y61 XJS C,D,E,F XC 3 LEO [3] 02/20/19 Soyuz 2-1a/Fregat 1911 Meridian-M 19L ~2.0 PL 43/3 EEO/M 03/07/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-83 CRS-20/Dragon 12.3 ~7.259 CC 40 LEO/ISS[4] 03/09/20 CZ-3B/E Y69 Beidou-3 G2 4.6 XC 2 GTO 03/16/20 CZ-7A Y1 XJY 6 WC 201 [FTO][5] 03/16/20 Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 1912 Uragan-M 760 1.415 PL 43/4 MEO 03/18/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-84 Starlink 1 F5 15.6 KC 39A LEO [6] 03/21/20 Soyuz 2.1b/Fregat ST28 OneWeb 41-74 5.015 TB 31/6 LEO 03/24/20 CZ-2C Yaogan 30-06 XC 3 LEO 03/26/20 Atlas 5-551 AV086 AEHF 6 6.168 CC 41 GTO+ [7] 04/09/20 Soyuz 2.1a 1914 Soyuz MS-16 ~7.2 TB 31/6 LEO/ISS[8] 04/09/20 CZ-3B/E Palapa N1 5.55 XC 2 [FTO][9] 04/22/20 Qased Noor SH LEO [10] 04/22/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-85 Starlink 1 F6 15.6 KC 39A LEO [11] 04/25/20 Soyuz 2-1a 1915 Progress MS-14 ~7.4 TB 31/6 LEO/ISS 05/05/20 CZ-5B Y1 XZF,RCS ~22.0 WC 101 LEO [12] 05/12/20 KZ-1A Y6 Xingyun 2-1, 2-2 0.186 JQ 43/95 LEO/S 05/17/20 Atlas 5-501 AV081 USSF 7 (X37B OTV6) ~6.0? CC41 LEO [13] 05/20/20 H-2B-304 F9 HTV-9 16.5 TA Y2 LEO/ISS 05/22/19 Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 1916 EKS 4 ~1.4? PL 43/4 EEO/M 05/25/20 LauncherOne 01 Launch Demo MO [FTO][14] 05/29/20 CZ-11 XJS-G, XJS-H XC LEO [15] 05/30/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-87 DM-2/Crew Dragon ~12.5 KC 39A LEO/ISS[16] 05/31/20 CZ-2D Y51 Gaofen 9-02/Hede 4 JQ 43/603 LEO/S 06/04/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-86 Starlink 1 F7 15.6 CC 40 LEO [17] 06/10/20 CZ-2C Haiyang 1D 0.442 TY 9 LEO/S 06/13/20 Electron/Curie 12 Rideshare MA 1 LEO 06/13/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-88 Starlink 1 F8/3xSkysat 15.41 CC 40 LEO [18] 06/17/20 CZ-2D Y52 Gaofen 9-03/Hede 5 JQ 43/603 LEO/S 06/23/20 CZ-3B/E Y68 Beidou-3 G3 4.6 XC 2 GTO 06/30/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-90 GPS 3-3 4.311 CC 40 MTO [19] 07/03/20 CZ-4B Y43 GFMM 2.4 TY 9 LEO/S 07/04/20 Electron/Curie 13 CE-SAT-1B/Dovesats MA 1 [FTO][20] 07/04/20 CZ-2D Y29 Shiyan Weixing 6-02 JQ 43/603 LEO/S 07/06/20 Shavit-2 12 Ofeq 16 PA LEO/R 07/09/20 CZ-3B/E Y64 APStar 6D 5.55 XC 3 GTO 07/10/20 KZ-11 F1 Multisat JQ [FTO][21] 07/15/20 Minotaur 4 MT4-7 NROL 129 WI 0B LEO 07/19/20 H-2A-202 F42 Hope 1.35 TA Y1 HCO [22] 07/20/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-91 Anasis 2 CC 40 GTO+[23] 07/23/20 CZ-5 Y4 Tianwan 1 ~5.0 WC 101 HCO [24] 07/23/20 Soyuz 2-1a 1917 Progress MS-15 ~7.4 TB 31/6 LEO/ISS 07/25/20 CZ-4B Y45 Ziyuan 3-3 2.63 TY 9 LEO/S 07/30/20 Atlas 5-541 AV088 Mars-2020 4.082 CC 41 HCO [25] 07/30/20 Proton M/Briz M 93567 Express 80/103 4.390 TB 200/39 GTO+ 08/06/20 CZ-2D Y56 Gaofen 9-04/Tsinghua JQ 43/603 LEO/S 08/07/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-89 Starlink 1 9/Global 7/8 15.192 KC 39A LEO [26] 08/15/20 Ariane 5 ECA+ L5112 VA253/Glxy30/MEV2/BSat4b 9.804 KO 3 GTO 08/18/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-92 Starlink 1-10/Skysat 15.44 CC 40 LEO [27] 08/23/20 CZ-2D Y57 Gaofen 9-05/Tiantuo 5 JQ 43/603 LEO/S 08/30/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-93 SAOCOM 1B 3.05 CC 40 LEO/S[28] 08/31/20 Electron/Curie 14 Sequoia 0.100 MA 1 LEO 09/03/20 Vega VV16 SSMS POC 0.877 KO ZLV LEO/S 09/03/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-94 Starlink V1-11 15.6 KC 39A LEO [29] 09/04/20 CZ-2F/T Reusable Test S/C JQ 43/921 LEO 09/07/20 CZ-4B Y46 Gaofen 11-02 TY 9 LEO/S 09/12/20 Rocket 3 R3.1 Orbital Test KD 3B [FTO][30] 09/12/20 KZ-1A Y3 Jilin-1 Gaofen 02C 0.23 JQ [FTO][31] 09/15/20 CZ-11H Y2 9 Gaofen 03B/C YL LEO/S[32] 09/21/20 CZ-4B Y41 Haiyang 2C JQ 43/603 LEO 09/27/20 CZ-4B Y42 HJ-2A/HJ-2B TY 9 LEO/S 09/28/20 Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 1917 3xGonets-M + usats PL 43/4 LEO 10/03/20 Antares 230+ A13 Cygnus NG-14 7.42 WI 0A LEO/ISS 10/06/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-95 Starlink 1-12 15.6 KC 39A LEO [33] 10/11/20 CZ-3B/E Y63 Gaofen 13 XC 2 GTO 10/14/20 Soyuz 2.1a 1918 Soyuz MS-17 ~7.2 TB 31/6 LEO/ISS 10/18/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-97 Starlink 1-13 15.6 KC 39A LEO [34] 10/24/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-98 Starlink 1-14 15.6 CC 40 LEO [35] 10/25/20 Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 1919 Glonass-K 15L 0.94 PL 43/3 MEO 10/26/20 CZ-2C Y43 Yaogan 30-07 XC 3 LEO 10/28/20 Electron/Curie 15 CESAT 2B/Flock 4e ~0.081 MA 1 LEO/S 11/05/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-96 GPS 3-04 4.311 CC 40 MTO [36] 11/06/20 CZ-6 Y3 1-xNuSats + 3 usats ~0.5 TY 16 LEO/S 11/07/20 Ceres-1 Y1 Tianqi 11 0.05 JQ LEO/S[37] 11/07/20 PSLV-DL C49 EOS-1 + 9usats ~0.7 SR 1 LEO 11/12/20 CZ-3B/E Y73 Tiantong 1-02 XC 2 GTO 11/13/20 Atlas 531 AV090 NROL 101 CC 41 MEO? 11/16/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-99 Crew 1/Crew Dragon ~12.5 KC 39A LEO/ISS[38] 11/17/20 Vega VV17 SEOSat/TARANIS 0.925 KO ZLV [FTO][39] 11/20/20 Electron/Curie 16 Dragracer/Swarm/etc ~0.046 MA 1 LEO/S[40] 11/21/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-100 Sentinel 6 1.192 VA 4E LEO [41] 11/23/20 CZ-5 Y5 Chang'e 5 8.2 WC 101 TLI [42] 11/25/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-101 Starlink 1-15 15.6 CC 40 LEO [43] 11/29/20 H-2A-202 F43 JDRS 1 TA Y1 GTO 12/02/20 Soyuz 2-1a/Fregat VS24 FalconEye 2 1.19 KO ELS LEO/S 12/03/20 Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 1921 3xGonets-M + sat PL 43/3 LEO 12/06/20 CZ-3B/G5 Y70 Gaofen 14 XC 3 LEO/S[44] 12/06/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-102 CRS-21/Dragon 2 Cargo ~12.5 KC 39A LEO/ISS[45] 12/09/20 CZ-11 Y9 GECAM XC LEO 12/11/20 Delta 4H D385 NROL 44 CC 37B GEO 12/13/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-103 SXM 7 ~7.0 CC 40 GTO- [46] 12/14/20 Angara A5/Briz M A5-2 IPM Test Flight PL 35/1 GEO [47] 12/15/20 Electron/Curie F17 StriX-a 0.15 MA 1 LEO/S 12/15/20 Astra Rocket 3 3.2 Oribital Test KD 3B [FTO] [48] 12/17-20 PSLV-XL C50 CMS 1 1.41 SR 2 GTO- 12/18/20 Soyuz 2.1b/Fregat ST29 OneWeb 75-110 5.310 VO 1S LEO 12/19/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-104 NROL-108 KC 39A LEO? [49] 12/22/20 CZ-8 Y1 XJY-1 + 4 usats ~3.22 WC 202 LEO/S[50] 12/27/20 CZ-4C Y35 Yaogan 33 JQ 43/603 LEO/S 12/29/20 Soyuz 2/1a/Fregat VS25 CSO 2 3.562 KO ELS LEO/S ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [1] Reached 540 km apogee but fell 1,000 m/s short of 7,400 m/s orbital velocity. [2] First stage B1056.4 failed to land on OSCILY. [3] First CZ-2D from Xichang. XJS C-F to 480 km x 35 deg orbits. [4] First stage B1059.2 landed LZ-1. [5] Failure just after S2 start. [6] First stage B1048.5, 1 eng failed on ascent, no OSCILY landing. [7] Three Centaur burns to high perigee GTO, 5.6 hour mission. [8] First crewed launch by Soyuz 2.1a [9] Failure during first Stage 3 burn. FTO. [10] First Qased launch from Sharud, Iran (SH). [11] First stage B1051.4 landed on OSCILY. [12] CZ-5B (1.5 stage) test flight also carried XZF New Generation Crewed Spacecraft, RCS inflatable reentry heat shield demonstrator, and other payloads. [13] First Service Module flight. Believed third flight of first X-37B. [14] Failed shortly after Stg 1 ignition after drop from Cosmic Girl SW of Long Beach, CA. Launch Demo planned to LEO including two Stg 2 burns. [15] First CZ-11 launch from Xichang. [16] First U.S. Commercial Crew launch. Stg 1 B1058.1 landed OSCILY. [17] First stage B1049.5 landed JRTI. First "fifth" landing. [18] First stage B1059.3 landed OCISLY. [19] First stage B1060.1 landed JRTI. [20] Second stage failure. [21] Inaugural launch failure, sometime after Stg 2 separation. [22] UAE Mars Mission. First H-2A trans-Mars launch. [23] First stage B1058.2 landed JRTI. [24] China Mars mission. Orbiter, lander, rover. [25] NASA/JPL 1,025 kg Perserverance Mars rover. [26] First stage B1051.5 landed OCISLY. [27] First stage B1049.6 landed OCISLY. [28] First stage B1059.4 landed LZ 1. First SSO launch from Cape since 1969. [29] First stage B1060.2 landed OCISLY. [30] Oscillations caused abort cutoff after about 22 seconds. Fell to Earth not far from launch site. [31] Possible upper stage failure. [32] Second launch from floating platform in Yellow Sea. First use of Debo 3 ship. To LEO/S. Overflew Taiwan north to south. [33] First stage B1058.3 landed OCISLY. [34] First stage B1051.6 landed OCISLY. [35] First stage B1060.3 landed JRTI. [36] First stage B1062.1 landed OCISLY. [37] Inaugural Ceres-1 Launch. [38] First stage B1061.1 landed JRTI. [39] AVUM fourth stage tumbled out of control at first ignition. Two TVC cables inverted. [40] First stage parachuted to ocean splashdown for inspection/recovery. [41] First stage B1063.1 landed LZ 4 [42] Chang'e 5 to orbit, land, and return sample from Moon. Sample return mission. [43] First stage B1049.7 landed OCISLY. First "7th" flight/landing. [44] First CZ-3B/G5 with longer PLF. First CZ-3B to LEO/S. [45] First stage B1058.4 landed OCISLY. First Dragon 2 Cargo. [46] First stage B1051.7 landed JRTI. [47] Repeat of first A5 flight, using PO Polyot URM-1 modules. [48] Second stage cutoff 15-20 seconds short of orbit. [49] First stage B1059.5 landed LZ1. [50] CZ-8 inaugural launch. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ================================================================================== 2020 Major Suborbital Log 2020 MAJOR SUBORBITAL LAUNCH LOG Suborbital Launches Using Booster Hardware Also Used for Orbital Launches ================================================================================== DATE VEHICLE ID PAYLOAD MASS(t) SITE* ORBIT** ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01/19/20 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-80 IFA Crew Dragon 2 ~12.5 KC 39A SUB [1] 02/05/20 Minuteman 3 FTU-2 Development Test VA LF04 SUB [2] 08/04/20 Minuteman 3 GT235GM Operational Test VA LF10 SUB [3] 09/02/20 Minuteman 3 GT233GM Operational Test VA LF04 SUB [4] 10/29/20 Minuteman 3 GT236GM Operational Test VA LF09 SUB [4] 12/09/20 Yars Operational Test PL SUB [5] 12/09/20 Sineva R-29RM Operational SLBM Test BA SUB [6] 12/12/20 Bulava Operational SLBM Test OK SUB [7] 12/12/20 Bulava Operational SLBM Test OK SUB [7] 12/12/20 Bulava Operational SLBM Test OK SUB [7] 12/12/20 Bulava Operational SLBM Test OK SUB [7] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [1] Crew Dragon In-Flight Abort test. S1 B1046.4 expended. [2] 2nd of 4 planned development flight tests to check new components. 1 RV. To Kwajalein. [3] Pulled from FE Warren AFB silo. 3 RV. To Kwajalein. [4] Pulled from Minot AFB silo. 1 RV. To Kwajalien. [5] To Kura Range, Kamchatka [6] From K-18 in Barents Sea [7] Salvo launch, 4 SLBMs from K-551 to Chizha test range. 35th-38th Bulava. ================================================================================= *Site Code: AO = Arctic Ocean (Sub Launch), Russia BA = Barents Sea (Sub Launch), Russia BS = Barking Sands, Kauai, Hawaii CC = Cape Canaveral, FL, USA DO = Dombarovsky, Russia FLP = First Launch Pad JQ = Ji Quan, China KA = Kagoshima, Japan KC = Kennedy Space Center, FL, USA KO = Kourou, French Guyana KW = Kwajalein, Marshall Is. KY = Kapustin Yar, Russia MA = Mahia Peninsula, New Zealand ME = Meck Island, Kwajalein Atoll, RMI MU = Musudan-ri North Korea NA = Naro Space Center, South Korea NP = North Pole Submarine Launch OK = Sea of Okhotsk OLP = Odyssey Launch Platform PA = Palamchima, Isreal PL = Plesetsk Northern Cosmodrome, Russia PO = Pacific Ocean (154W-0N for Sea Launch) SE = Semnan, Iran in Dasht-e-Kavir Desert SH = Shahrud, Iran in Central Desert SO = Sohae Satellite Launching Center, Tongchang-ri, North Korea SR = Satish Dhawan Space Center, Sriharikota, India SLP = Second Launch Pad TA = Tanageshima, Japan TB = Tyuratam/Baikonur, Kazakstahn TY = Taiyuan, China WC = Wenchang, China WH = White Sea (Sub Launch), Russia WI = Wallops Island XC = Xi Chang, China VA = Vandenberg AFB, CA, USA VO = Vostochny, Russia YL = Yellow Sea floating platform, 34.9 N, 121.19 E YO = Yoshinobu Launch Pad **Orbit Code: EEO = Elliptical Earth Orbit EEO/M = Molynia (12-hr) Elliptical Earth Orbit EEO/T = Tundra (24-hr) Elliptical Earth Orbit FTO = Failed to Orbit FSO = Failed Suborbital GTO = Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit GTO+ = Supersynchronous or High Perigee Transfer Orbit GTO- = Subsynchronous Transfer Orbit GTOi = Inclined GTO GEO = Geosynchronous Orbit HCO = Heliocentric (solar) Orbit HTO = High Earth Transfer Orbit LEO = Low Earth Orbit LEO/E = Equatorial LEO LEO/S = Sun Synchronous Low Earth Orbit LEO/P = Polar Low Earth Orbit LEO/R = Retrograde Low Earth Orbit MEO = Medium Earth Orbit MTO = Medium Earth Transfer Orbit SUB = Suborbital ========================================================================= Space Launch Forecast ======================================================================== SPACE LAUNCH REPORT ON THE PAD: SPACE LAUNCH FORECAST ========================================================================= by Ed Kyle as of December 29, 2020 ========================================================================= This space launch forecast, like all such space launch schedules, should not be considered anything but a vague long-term forecast. The dates, sequence, and even the total number of launches, can and almost certainly will be altered as time passes. (Predicting launch dates is much like trying to predict the weather months in advance.) ================================================================================== DATE VEHICLE ID PAYLOAD MASS(t) SITE* ORBIT** ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01/--/21 Falcon 9 v1.2 F9-105 Turksat 5A CC 40 GTO --/--/21 SSLV 1 Demo Flight SR LEO --/--/21 LauncherOne F2 ELaNa 20 MO LEO --/--/21 GSLV Mk 2 GISAT 1 SR GTO ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- *Site Code: BA = Barents Sea (Sub Launch), Russia BS = Barking Sands, Kauai, Hawaii CC = Cape Canaveral, FL, USA DO = Dombarovsky, Russia FLP = First Launch Pad GO = Goheung (Naro), South Korea JQ = Ji Quan, China KA = Kagoshima, Japan KO = Kourou, French Guyana KC = Kennedy Space Center, FL, USA KD = Kodiak, Alaska KW = Kwajalein, Marshall Is. MA = Mahia, New Zealand MO = Mojave Space Port, California, USA MU = Musudan-ri, North Korea OLP = Odyssey Launch Platform PA = Palamchima, Isreal PL = Plesetsk Northern Cosmodrome, Russia PO = Pacific Ocean Range 154W-0N SE = Semnan, Iran in Dasht-e-Kavir Desert SO = Sohae Satellite Launching Center, Tongchang-ri, North Korea SR = Satish Dhawan Space Center, Sriharikota, India SLP = Second Launch Pad SV = Svobodny Cosmodrome, Russia TA = Tanageshima, Japan TB = Tyuratam/Baikonur, Kazakstahn TY = Taiyuan, China WC = Wenchang, China WI = Wallops Island XC = Xi Chang, China VA = Vandenberg AFB, CA, USA YO = Yoshinobu Launch Pad **Orbit Code: EEO = Elliptical Earth Orbit EEO/M = Molynia (12-hr) Elliptical Earth Orbit EEO/T = Tundra (24-hr) Elliptical Earth Orbit FTO = Failed to Orbit FSO = Failed Suborbital GTO = Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit GTO+ = Supersynchronous Transfer Orbit GTO- = Subsynchronous Transfer Orbit GEO = Geosynchronous Orbit HCO = Heliocentric (solar) Orbit HTO = High Earth Transfer Orbit LEO = Low Earth Orbit LEO/S = Sun Synchronous Low Earth Orbit LEO/P = Polar Low Earth Orbit MEO = Medium Earth Orbit MTO = Medium Earth Transfer Orbit SUB = Suborbital TLI = Trans Lunar Injection =========================================================================